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Welcome to Unruly Futures!

A New Format for Curated Insights and Commentary

We're testing out this format to see if it's interesting for people. We plan to simply collect all of the things we've read over the week and sometimes provide some commentary. We might add other tidbits from time to time to show people the different futures we're seeing!

Thought we might start with a relatively quiet week as everybody settles in for the new year. Didn't imagine the LA fires situation obviously, and want to think for a minute of all the people impacted. Can't begin to think how scary and devastating it must be.

Let us know what you think of this format and remember to send us any Unruly stuff you find around!

What we're reading

MIT engineers grow “high-rise” 3D chips

MIT researchers fabricated 3D chips with alternating layers of semiconducting material grown directly on top of each other. The method eliminates thick silicon between layers, leading to better and faster computation, for applications like more efficient AI hardware.

Automatic generation of dynamic arousal expression on an android robot face (video)

Absolutely insane emotion expression in a fully robotic face

By default, capital will matter more than ever after AGI

The main takeaway of this post is meant to be: Labour-replacing AI will shift the relative importance of human v non-human factors of production, which reduces the incentives for society to care about humans while making existing powers more effective and entrenched.

AVC | What Will Happen In 2025

Fred tries again on 2025 predictions

AGI Will Not Make Labor Worthless - by Maxwell Tabarrok

An optimist take. 1. Automation increases productivity and output. 2. Automation raises the amount of capital available to each worker. 3. Automation often improves capital productivity 4. Automation creates new tasks that labor can perform.

henrythe9th/AI-Crash-Course

AI Crash Course that went viral

Scientists aim for ‘Darwinian evolution’ with artificial life project

‘MiniLife’ research extends growing field of synthetic biology into new territory

Opinion | China Wants to Damage Our Economy, and It’s Succeeding

China’s primary goal is to damage America’s economy and pave the way for it to become the world’s pre-eminent power. Believable.

Apptronik partners with Deepmind

The humanoid robots space is already at "corporates partnerships" level of competition

I am rich and have no idea what to do with my life

The founder and CTO of Loom explains his path from selling for $1B (my guess is a $100M pre-tax exit?), giving up $60M for two years at the acquirer and figuring out what to do next

Intel spinning out RealSense as standalone company

Intel is spinning out RealSense as a standalone company in the first half of 2025, not exactly clear (as ever with Intel) if this means they really believe in the robotics part of the business or not. But hard to think they wouldn't

OpenAI has begun building out its robotics team | VentureBeat

We've heard this from a few people already, but now there is full public confirmation that AI is working on robotics. Unclear if they want to put out a sensor suite, actual robots or just a robotics-specific model which is what we had heard.

OpenAI Cuts Off Engineer Who Created ChatGPT-Powered Robotic Sentry Rifle

You surely saw the video of the guy riding a robot firearm that was vocally controller with an OpenAI integration.

Well it's no more, OpenAI cut him off. Hard to think he wouldn't just implement with an OSS model, but still worth thinking about how companies will have to handle all of this edge cases in their model's usage.

China's electric car sales grow in 2024, as sales of gasoline cars plunge | Financial Post

Plug in hybrid winning by far in China, with EVs also growing rapidly and gasoline and diesel tanking 17%

NVIDIA CES announcements

NVIDIA Cosmos | Physical AI Development with World Foundation Models (WFM)

Nvidia is going all in on robotics. COSMOS is their way to help developers accelerate AI development for robotics.

NVIDIA Project DIGITS: The World’s Smallest AI Supercomputer.

Pretty incredible to think that you now can have suck power on your desktop

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Keynote at CES 2025 - YouTube

It's really worth taking a look at the whole thing

Epic tweets

Jordan Noone 🇺🇸 on X: "Going to be an exciting year https://t.co/qLpWVruSFx" / X

Text to CAD finally happening

Mass produced teleoperated robots

"Almost nobody is grasping the full implications and imminence of mass produced teleoperated humanoid robots. This is going to upend society and is entirely decoupled from anything going on with AI."

Markets and Morality

Very close to what we argue in Unruly's Manifesto

Not sure this is going to be a permanent section, but over the holidays and the past week I've discovered not one, but two artist that I think are once-in-a-generation talent.

Papers

Cavity-mediated iSWAP oscillations between distant spins | Nature Physics

It seems like we're in the golden age of quantum computing research.

Superconducting resonators will be used to enable coherent interactions between distant spin qubits, meaning we might get scalable networks of on-chip spin qubits, making real quantum computing quite more likely. (Nature)

Orthogonal and multiplexable genetic perturbations with an engineered prime editor and a diverse RNA array | Nature Communications

Another CRISPR moment? Researchers built an all-in-one tool that can precisely edit genes, activate gene expression and repress genes all at the same time.

This mvGPT shows AI+BIO in its best manifestation.

Excitons in the fractional quantum Hall effect | Nature

A new particle that's not a Boson and not a Fermion but a fractional exciton.

Quantum mechanics potentially altered with deep implications for quantum computing (although in a decade at the very least I guess)

Building materials could store more than 16 billion tonnes of CO2 annually | Science

Surely a lot of work to write this paper, but nothing groundbreaking out of it. We already know innovation in construction materials can have a gigantic impact on climate emissions.

Maybe someone can write a paper explaining how to scale it and enter that incredibly hard market :)

Rational engineering of minimally immunogenic nucleases for gene therapy | Nature Communications

Epic, and at the same time quite scary, developments in CRISPR where researchers have been able to mask Cas9 and Cas12 nucleases from the immune system.

So we get both safer gene therapies 🎉 and more dangerous bioweapons 🥶

Record High Temperatures in the Ocean in 2024 | Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

Pretty self explanatory paper. Oceans at their peak temps despite moving from El Nino to neutral conditions.

Copernicus: 2024 is the first year to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial level | Copernicus

2024 is confirmed by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) to be the warmest year on record globally, and the first calendar year that the average global temperature exceeded 1.5°C above its pre-industrial level.

Climate change is here, LA fires and all. Adaptation will start becoming more important very fast, given that prevention and mitigation aren't really doing great.

Music

Fred again..: Tiny Desk Concert

Fred again is clearly a musical genius. He was raised in a rich family, and went to a private musical school, and then.. he went unruly.  He has a unique style, with some electronic stuff put in and he uses Maschine like no other.

I'm maybe a bit late to the party (he produced Bad Habits for Ed Sheeran so he's not really underground) but I don't think many people know about him.

This set is honestly mind bending, as well as his boiler room set.

Enjoy

Ren

Ren is.. undescribable?

A mix of a Shakespear, Eminem, Santana and Fatboy Slim.

I have been blown away by so many of his performances (you can't really call them tracks) that I have to link to the actual channel.

Please watch some of this stuff to see the breadth, from solo piano sessions, electro rap, bard-style guitar sonnets, and proper masterpieces - all live and in one take.

Thanks Ren for showing us what extraordinary talent and obsession is like!


Let us know what you think of this format, and if you have anything else we should read!

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